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Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp. (PHIO)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 showed disciplined OpEx control and improved net loss year-over-year as PH-762 advanced through cohort 3 with two complete pathologic responses, and safety supported escalation to cohort 4; cash rose to $13.3M, extending runway into Q2 2026 .
  • No product revenue; basic/diluted EPS improved to $(0.41) vs $(0.47) in Q1 2024; total operating expenses fell 15% YoY to $1.872M, driven by lower R&D and G&A .
  • Management reiterated expectations to complete Phase 1b enrollment in Q3 2025 and believes capital is sufficient to complete the treatment phase; continued cost rationalization supports focus on PH-762 .
  • Wall Street consensus estimates for Q1 2025 EPS and revenue were unavailable via S&P Global; therefore no beat/miss assessment can be made (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
  • Near-term stock catalysts include clinical data visibility (SID podium presentation May 10, 2025), safety-backed dose escalation, and completion of enrollment in Q3 2025; risks include going-concern uncertainty and potential tariff-related cost pressures for suppliers .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Clinical efficacy signals: In cohort 3, 2/3 cSCC patients achieved complete pathologic response (100% tumor clearance); cumulative across cohorts 1–3, 4 complete responses, 1 near-complete (>90%), and 1 partial (>50%) with no clinical progression observed .
  • Safety and tolerability: No dose-limiting toxicities or clinically relevant treatment-emergent adverse effects; SMC recommended dose escalation to cohort 4 .
  • Strengthened liquidity: Cash increased to $13.3M, aided by ~$9.2M gross proceeds from December/January offerings and ~$2.9M gross from warrant exercises, supporting completion of the treatment phase .

What Went Wrong

  • No product revenue; company remains pre-commercial and has yet to generate operating revenues, limiting margin analysis .
  • Going-concern and financing dependence: Management disclosed substantial doubt about ability to continue as a going concern without additional capital; later notes project runway into Q2 2026 but financing risk persists .
  • Potential macro/tariff headwinds: New U.S. tariffs (including on pharmaceuticals) could raise supplier costs or disrupt supply chains, impacting future manufacturing economics .

Financial Results

Year-over-Year (Q1 2024 → Q1 2025)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00 $0.00
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(2.154) $(1.769)
EPS, Basic & Diluted ($)$(0.47) $(0.41)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$1.148 $0.886
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$1.061 $0.986
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$2.209 $1.872
Operating Loss ($USD Millions)$(2.209) $(1.872)
Cash & Equivalents at Period End ($USD Millions)$6.475 $13.278
Weighted Avg Shares (Basic & Diluted)4,580,072 4,307,264

Quarter-over-Quarter (Q3 2024 → Q1 2025)

Note: Q4 2024 quarter-only detail not disclosed; Q3 2024 is the latest reported quarter.

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00 $0.00
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(1.524) $(1.769)
EPS, Basic & Diluted ($)$(1.54) $(0.41)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$0.644 $0.886
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$0.946 $0.986
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$1.590 $1.872
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$5.390 $13.278

KPIs (Clinical and Operating)

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Patients treated (cumulative)7 (cohorts 1–2) 7 (cohort 3 fully enrolled) 10 (cohorts 1–3)
Pathologic complete responses (cumulative)2 (cohort 2) 2 (cohort 2) 4 (across cohorts 1–3)
Near/Partial responses (cumulative)1 near 90% (cohort 2) 1 near 90% (cohort 2) 1 near 90%; 1 partial >50%
Safety/DLTsNo DLTs; tolerated No DLTs; tolerated No DLTs; tolerated
Net Cash Used in Ops ($M)$(1.275)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Phase 1b Enrollment CompletionQ3 2025Complete enrollment in Q3 2025 Complete enrollment in Q3 2025 Maintained (timeline reaffirmed)
Treatment Phase Funding Sufficiency2025 study phaseBelieves sufficient capital to complete treatment phase Believes sufficient capital to complete treatment phase Maintained
Cash RunwayOperating plan horizonNot previously quantified in YE PRFund current operating plan into Q2 2026 New quantified runway
Dose EscalationNear termContinue escalation subject to SMC SMC recommended escalation to cohort 4 Raised (escalation approved)
Data VisibilityEventsConference presentations ongoing SID podium presentation May 10, 2025 Raised (near-term catalyst)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript found; themes summarized from SEC press releases and 10-Q.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)Previous Mentions (YE 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Clinical efficacy (PH-762)Cohort 2: 2 complete, 1 partial; cohort 3 screening Cohort 3 fully enrolled; reiterated cohort 2 outcomes Cohort 3: 2 complete; cumulative 4 complete; 1 near-complete; 1 partial Improving efficacy signals
Safety/tolerabilityPositive safety; escalation anticipated No DLTs; well tolerated SMC approved escalation to cohort 4; no DLTs Strengthening safety profile
Capital sourcingJuly 2024 warrant inducement; ~$2.6M net Dec’24 & Jan’25 offerings; $9.2M gross; $6.8M net; warrants exercised ~$2.9M gross Financing inflows reflected in cash; now $13.3M Liquidity improved
Cost rationalizationHeadcount reductions; remote ops shift Continued cost rationalization; lab footprint reduced Continued lease downsize; monthly $2,500 lab; $300 workspace Sustained OpEx discipline
Regulatory/macro (tariffs)Potential tariff exposure and cost risk noted Emerging headwind
Pipeline (PH-894)Reported preclinical/BRD4 presentations PH-894 IND deferred; IND-enabling complete Focus on PH-762; PH-894 IND deferred Deprioritized near term

Management Commentary

  • “These positive outcomes continue to indicate that PH-762 may present a viable non-surgical alternative in this large and continually expanding skin cancer market.” — Robert Bitterman, President & CEO .
  • “We are impressed with the continuing safety profile of PH-762 having now progressed through the first 3 escalating doses.” — Mary Spellman, MD, Acting CMO .
  • “PH-762 has been well tolerated in all enrolled patients in each escalating dose cohort. The fourth cohort is currently enrolling and treating patients; Phio expects to complete enrollment in the third quarter of 2025.” — Company press release .

Q&A Highlights

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript or Q&A was available; no additional guidance clarifications beyond press releases and 10-Q disclosures .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q1 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable for PHIO; coverage appears limited, so no beat/miss determination can be made (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
  • In absence of estimates, investors should anchor on reported EPS $(0.41) and net loss $(1.769)M, and clinical milestones for near-term narrative shifts .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Clinical signal is strengthening: two complete pathologic responses in cohort 3 and four cumulative complete responses across cohorts support potential of intratumoral PH-762 in cSCC; safety has consistently supported escalation .
  • Liquidity improved: cash rose to $13.278M; management expects runway into Q2 2026 and believes capital suffices to complete treatment phase of the ongoing Phase 1b trial .
  • OpEx discipline: R&D and G&A both declined year-over-year, compressing total operating expenses by 15% and improving EPS vs Q1 2024 .
  • Catalysts: SID podium presentation (May 10, 2025), ongoing cohort 4 enrollment, and expected completion of trial enrollment in Q3 2025 may drive sentiment and liquidity .
  • Risks to monitor: going-concern disclosure and reliance on external financing despite improved runway; potential tariff-related supplier cost pressures .
  • No revenue and single operating segment: commercial execution risk remains post-clinical; margin analytics are N/A until product revenues commence .
  • Strategic focus: PH-894 IND deferred to prioritize PH-762 clinical execution; watch for future pipeline updates and any partnering activity to extend runway or accelerate development .

Appendix: Estimates vs Actuals (Q1 2025)

MetricConsensus (S&P Global)ActualSurprise
EPS ($)N/A (unavailable via S&P Global)$(0.41) N/A
Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A (unavailable via S&P Global)$0.00 N/A

Appendix: Segment Disclosure

Company StructureDetail
Operating SegmentsOne operating/reporting segment; all assets in the U.S.